Cardiovascular and Cancer Risk with Tofacitinib in Rheumatoid Arthritis.
The New England journal of medicine
BACKGROUND:Increases in lipid levels and cancers with tofacitinib prompted a trial of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and cancers in patients with rheumatoid arthritis receiving tofacitinib as compared with a tumor necrosis factor (TNF) inhibitor. METHODS:We conducted a randomized, open-label, noninferiority, postauthorization, safety end-point trial involving patients with active rheumatoid arthritis despite methotrexate treatment who were 50 years of age or older and had at least one additional cardiovascular risk factor. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive tofacitinib at a dose of 5 mg or 10 mg twice daily or a TNF inhibitor. The coprimary end points were adjudicated MACE and cancers, excluding nonmelanoma skin cancer. The noninferiority of tofacitinib would be shown if the upper boundary of the two-sided 95% confidence interval for the hazard ratio was less than 1.8 for the combined tofacitinib doses as compared with a TNF inhibitor. RESULTS:A total of 1455 patients received tofacitinib at a dose of 5 mg twice daily, 1456 received tofacitinib at a dose of 10 mg twice daily, and 1451 received a TNF inhibitor. During a median follow-up of 4.0 years, the incidences of MACE and cancer were higher with the combined tofacitinib doses (3.4% [98 patients] and 4.2% [122 patients], respectively) than with a TNF inhibitor (2.5% [37 patients] and 2.9% [42 patients]). The hazard ratios were 1.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.91 to 1.94) for MACE and 1.48 (95% CI, 1.04 to 2.09) for cancers; the noninferiority of tofacitinib was not shown. The incidences of adjudicated opportunistic infections (including herpes zoster and tuberculosis), all herpes zoster (nonserious and serious), and adjudicated nonmelanoma skin cancer were higher with tofacitinib than with a TNF inhibitor. Efficacy was similar in all three groups, with improvements from month 2 that were sustained through trial completion. CONCLUSIONS:In this trial comparing the combined tofacitinib doses with a TNF inhibitor in a cardiovascular risk-enriched population, risks of MACE and cancers were higher with tofacitinib and did not meet noninferiority criteria. Several adverse events were more common with tofacitinib. (Funded by Pfizer; ORAL Surveillance ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02092467.).
10.1056/NEJMoa2109927
Progression of ultrasound plaque attenuation and low echogenicity associates with major adverse cardiovascular events.
Shishikura Daisuke,Kataoka Yu,Di Giovanni Giuseppe,Takata Kohei,Scherer Daniel J,Andrews Jordan,Psaltis Peter J,Puri Rishi,Wolski Kathy,Nissen Steven E,Nicholls Stephen J
European heart journal
AIMS:Intravascular ultrasound (IVUS) imaging can visualize vulnerable plaque features including attenuation (AP) and echolucency (ELP). While IVUS-derived vulnerable plaque features associate with microvascular obstruction during percutaneous coronary intervention, the relationship between these plaque features and clinical outcomes has not been established. This analysis aimed to evaluate the association of AP/ELP with cardiovascular events. METHODS AND RESULTS:Serial IVUS imaging was reviewed in 1497 patients, followed for 18-24 months, with coronary artery disease from two clinical trials. Attenuated plaque and ELP were identified to measure each characteristics (AP arc, ELP area, and lengths), which permitted calculation of an AP index (API) and ELP volume. Attenuated plaque/ELP progression was defined as patients with any increase of API or ELP volume on serial imaging. The major cardiovascular events (MACEs) were defined as death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and coronary revascularization. AP or ELP was identified in 282 patients (18.8%) at baseline and 160 (10.7%) patients demonstrated an increase in AP or ELP at follow-up. The incidence of MACE was higher in patients with baseline AP/ELP than those without (8.2% vs. 3.9%, P = 0.002). Patients with AP/ELP progression were more likely to be acute coronary syndrome (41.9 vs. 33.2%, P = 0.03) and have greater baseline percent atheroma volume (40.0% vs. 35.8%, P < 0.001) than those without. On multivariable analysis, AP/ELP progression was more strongly associated with MACE [baseline AP/ELP: hazard ratio (HR) 1.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-2.97, AP/ELP progression: HR 2.19, 95% CI 1.24-3.86]. CONCLUSION:Attenuation/ELP progression was associated with a higher prevalence of cardiovascular events, supporting a potential role for the identification of high-risk vulnerable plaques in patients with coronary artery disease.
10.1093/eurheartj/ehaa173
Association of Baseline HbA1c With Cardiovascular and Renal Outcomes: Analyses From DECLARE-TIMI 58.
Cahn Avivit,Wiviott Stephen D,Mosenzon Ofri,Goodrich Erica L,Murphy Sabina A,Yanuv Ilan,Rozenberg Aliza,Bhatt Deepak L,Leiter Lawrence A,McGuire Darren K,Wilding John P H,Gause-Nilsson Ingrid A M,Langkilde Anna Maria,Sabatine Marc S,Raz Itamar
Diabetes care
OBJECTIVE:Current guidelines recommend prescribing SGLT2 inhibitors to patients with type 2 diabetes and established or at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), irrespective of HbA1c levels. We studied the association of HbA1c with cardiovascular and renal outcomes and whether the benefit of dapagliflozin varies by baseline HbA1c. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS:In the Dapagliflozin Effect on Cardiovascular Events trial (DECLARE-TIMI 58), 17,160 patients with type 2 diabetes were randomly assigned to dapagliflozin or placebo for a median follow-up of 4.2 years. Cardiovascular and renal outcomes by baseline HbA1c in the overall population and with dapagliflozin versus placebo in HbA1c subgroups were studied by Cox regression models. RESULTS:In the overall population, higher baseline HbA1c was associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular death or hospitalization for heart failure (HHF); major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, and ischemic stroke; and cardiorenal outcomes (adjusted hazard ratios 1.12 [95% CI 1.06-1.19], 1.08 [1.04-1.13], and 1.17 [1.11-1.24] per 1% higher level, respectively). Elevated HbA1c was associated with a greater increased risk for MACE and cardiorenal outcomes in patients with multiple risk factors (MRF) than in established ASCVD (P-interaction = 0.0064 and 0.0093, respectively). Compared with placebo, dapagliflozin decreased the risk of cardiovascular death/HHF, HHF, and cardiorenal outcomes, with no heterogeneity by baseline HbA1c (P-interaction > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS:Higher HbA1c levels were associated with greater cardiovascular and renal risk, particularly in the MRF population, yet the benefits of dapagliflozin were observed in all subgroups irrespective of baseline HbA1c, including patients with HbA1c <7%.
10.2337/dc21-1744
Ultrasonic Texture Features for Assessing Cardiac Remodeling and Dysfunction.
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
BACKGROUND:Changes in cardiac size, myocardial mass, cardiomyocyte appearance, and, ultimately, the function of the entire organ are interrelated features of cardiac remodeling that profoundly affect patient outcomes. OBJECTIVES:This study proposes that the application of radiomics for extracting cardiac ultrasonic textural features (ultrasomics) can aid rapid, automated assessment of left ventricular (LV) structure and function without requiring manual measurements. METHODS:This study developed machine-learning models using cardiac ultrasound images from 1,915 subjects in 3 clinical cohorts: 1) an expert-annotated cardiac point-of-care-ultrasound (POCUS) registry (n = 943, 80% training/testing and 20% internal validation); 2) a prospective POCUS cohort for external validation (n = 275); and 3) a prospective external validation on high-end ultrasound systems (n = 484). In a type 2 diabetes murine model, echocardiography of wild-type (n = 10) and Leptr (n = 8) mice were assessed longitudinally at 3 and 25 weeks, and ultrasomics features were correlated with histopathological features of hypertrophy. RESULTS:The ultrasomics model predicted LV remodeling in the POCUS and high-end ultrasound external validation studies (area under the curve: 0.78 [95% CI: 0.68-0.88] and 0.79 [95% CI: 0.73-0.86], respectively). Similarly, the ultrasomics model predicted LV remodeling was significantly associated with major adverse cardiovascular events in both cohorts (P < 0.0001 and P = 0.0008, respectively). Moreover, on multivariate analysis, the ultrasomics probability score was an independent echocardiographic predictor of major adverse cardiovascular events in the high-end ultrasound cohort (HR: 8.53; 95% CI: 4.75-32.1; P = 0.0003). In the murine model, cardiomyocyte hypertrophy positively correlated with 2 ultrasomics biomarkers (R = 0.57 and 0.52, Q < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS:Cardiac ultrasomics-based biomarkers may aid development of machine-learning models that provide an expert-level assessment of LV structure and function.
10.1016/j.jacc.2022.09.036
Coronary flow reserve and cardiovascular outcomes: a systematic review and meta-analysis.
European heart journal
AIMS:This meta-analysis aims to quantify the association of reduced coronary flow with all-cause mortality and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) across a broad range of patient groups and pathologies. METHODS AND RESULTS:We systematically identified all studies between 1 January 2000 and 1 August 2020, where coronary flow was measured and clinical outcomes were reported. The endpoints were all-cause mortality and MACE. Estimates of effect were calculated from published hazard ratios (HRs) using a random-effects model. Seventy-nine studies with a total of 59 740 subjects were included. Abnormal coronary flow reserve (CFR) was associated with a higher incidence of all-cause mortality [HR: 3.78, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.39-5.97] and a higher incidence of MACE (HR 3.42, 95% CI: 2.92-3.99). Each 0.1 unit reduction in CFR was associated with a proportional increase in mortality (per 0.1 CFR unit HR: 1.16, 95% CI: 1.04-1.29) and MACE (per 0.1 CFR unit HR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.04-1.11). In patients with isolated coronary microvascular dysfunction, an abnormal CFR was associated with a higher incidence of mortality (HR: 5.44, 95% CI: 3.78-7.83) and MACE (HR: 3.56, 95% CI: 2.14-5.90). Abnormal CFR was also associated with a higher incidence of MACE in patients with acute coronary syndromes (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 2.35-6.00), heart failure (HR: 6.38, 95% CI: 1.95-20.90), heart transplant (HR: 3.32, 95% CI: 2.34-4.71), and diabetes mellitus (HR: 7.47, 95% CI: 3.37-16.55). CONCLUSION:Reduced coronary flow is strongly associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality and MACE across a wide range of pathological processes. This finding supports recent recommendations that coronary flow should be measured more routinely in clinical practice, to target aggressive vascular risk modification for individuals at higher risk.
10.1093/eurheartj/ehab775
Tirzepatide cardiovascular event risk assessment: a pre-specified meta-analysis.
Nature medicine
Tirzepatide is a novel, once weekly, dual GIP/GLP-1 receptor agonist and is under development for the treatment of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and obesity. Its association with cardiovascular outcomes requires evaluation. This pre-specified cardiovascular meta-analysis included all seven randomized controlled trials with a duration of at least 26 weeks from the tirzepatide T2D clinical development program, SURPASS. The pre-specified primary objective of this meta-analysis was the comparison of the time to first occurrence of confirmed four-component major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE-4; cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke and hospitalized unstable angina) between pooled tirzepatide groups and control groups. A stratified Cox proportional hazards model, with treatment as a fixed effect and trial-level cardiovascular risk as the stratification factor, was used for the estimation of hazard ratios (HRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) comparing tirzepatide to control. Data from 4,887 participants treated with tirzepatide and 2,328 control participants were analyzed. Overall, 142 participants, 109 from the trial with high cardiovascular risk and 33 from the six trials with lower cardiovascular risk, had at least one MACE-4 event. The HRs comparing tirzepatide versus controls were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.57-1.11) for MACE-4; 0.90 (95% CI, 0.50-1.61) for cardiovascular death; and 0.80 (95% CI, 0.51-1.25) for all-cause death. No evidence of effect modifications was observed for any subgroups, although the evidence was stronger for participants with high cardiovascular risk. Tirzepatide did not increase the risk of major cardiovascular events in participants with T2D versus controls.
10.1038/s41591-022-01707-4
The artificial sweetener erythritol and cardiovascular event risk.
Nature medicine
Artificial sweeteners are widely used sugar substitutes, but little is known about their long-term effects on cardiometabolic disease risks. Here we examined the commonly used sugar substitute erythritol and atherothrombotic disease risk. In initial untargeted metabolomics studies in patients undergoing cardiac risk assessment (n = 1,157; discovery cohort, NCT00590200 ), circulating levels of multiple polyol sweeteners, especially erythritol, were associated with incident (3 year) risk for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE; includes death or nonfatal myocardial infarction or stroke). Subsequent targeted metabolomics analyses in independent US (n = 2,149, NCT00590200 ) and European (n = 833, DRKS00020915 ) validation cohorts of stable patients undergoing elective cardiac evaluation confirmed this association (fourth versus first quartile adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval), 1.80 (1.18-2.77) and 2.21 (1.20-4.07), respectively). At physiological levels, erythritol enhanced platelet reactivity in vitro and thrombosis formation in vivo. Finally, in a prospective pilot intervention study ( NCT04731363 ), erythritol ingestion in healthy volunteers (n = 8) induced marked and sustained (>2 d) increases in plasma erythritol levels well above thresholds associated with heightened platelet reactivity and thrombosis potential in in vitro and in vivo studies. Our findings reveal that erythritol is both associated with incident MACE risk and fosters enhanced thrombosis. Studies assessing the long-term safety of erythritol are warranted.
10.1038/s41591-023-02223-9
Cardiovascular, mortality, and kidney outcomes with GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials.
Sattar Naveed,Lee Matthew M Y,Kristensen Søren L,Branch Kelley R H,Del Prato Stefano,Khurmi Nardev S,Lam Carolyn S P,Lopes Renato D,McMurray John J V,Pratley Richard E,Rosenstock Julio,Gerstein Hertzel C
The lancet. Diabetes & endocrinology
BACKGROUND:GLP-1 receptor agonists reduce major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in patients with type 2 diabetes. However, uncertainty regarding kidney outcomes persists and whether benefits extend to exendin-4-based GLP-1 receptor remains uncertain. We aimed to meta-analyse the most up-to-date evidence on the cardiovascular benefits and risks of GLP-1 receptor agonists from outcome trials in patients with type 2 diabetes. METHODS:We did a meta-analysis, including new data from AMPLITUDE-O, using a random effects model to estimate overall hazard ratio (HR) for MACE; its components; all-cause mortality; hospital admission for heart failure; a composite kidney outcome consisting of development of macroalbuminuria, doubling of serum creatinine, or at least 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), kidney replacement therapy, or death due to kidney disease; worsening of kidney function, based on eGFR change; and odds ratios for key safety outcomes (severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy, pancreatitis, and pancreatic cancer). We also examined MACE outcome in patient subgroups on the basis of MACE incidence rates in the placebo group, presence or absence of cardiovascular disease, HbA level, trial duration, treatment dosing interval, structural homology to human GLP-1 or exendin-4, BMI, age, and eGFR. We searched PubMed for eligible trials reporting MACE (ie, cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or stroke), up to June 9, 2021. We meta-analysed data from published randomised placebo-controlled trials testing either injectable or oral GLP-1 receptor agonists in patients with type 2 diabetes. We restricted the search to trials of more than 500 patients with a primary outcome that included cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and non-fatal stroke. This meta-analysis was registered on PROSPERO, CRD42021259711. FINDINGS:Of 98 articles screened, eight trials comprising 60 080 patients fulfilled the prespecified criteria and were included. Overall, GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced MACE by 14% (HR 0·86 [95% CI 0·80-0·93]; p<0·0001), with no significant heterogeneity across GLP-1 receptor agonist structural homology or eight other examined subgroups (all p≥0·14). GLP-1 receptor agonists reduced all-cause mortality by 12% (HR 0·88 [95% CI 0·82-0·94]; p=0·0001), hospital admission for heart failure by 11% (HR 0·89 [95% CI 0·82-0·98]; p=0·013), and the composite kidney outcome by 21% (HR 0·79 [95% CI 0·73-0·87]; p<0·0001), with no increase in risk of severe hypoglycaemia, retinopathy, or pancreatic adverse effects. In sensitivity analyses removing the only trial restricted to patients with an acute coronary syndrome (ELIXA), all benefits marginally increased, including the outcome of worsening of kidney function, based on eGFR change (HR 0·82 [95% CI 0·69-0·98]; p=0·030). INTERPRETATION:GLP-1 receptor agonists, regardless of structural homology, reduced the risk of individual MACE components, all-cause mortality, hospital admission for heart failure, and worsening kidney function in patients with type 2 diabetes. FUNDING:None.
10.1016/S2213-8587(21)00203-5
Cardiac Reoperation or Transcatheter Mitral Valve Replacement for Patients With Failed Mitral Prostheses.
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
BACKGROUND:Evidence is limited regarding patient outcomes comparing redo surgical mitral valve replacement (redo SMVR) vs transcatheter mitral valve replacement (TMVR) for failed prostheses. OBJECTIVES:The goal of this study was to compare the outcomes of redo SMVR vs TMVR in patients with failed prostheses, as well as evaluate the association between case volume and outcomes. METHODS:Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years who underwent redo SMVR or TMVR for failed mitral prostheses between 2016 and 2020 were included. The primary endpoint was mid-term (up to 3 years) major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including all-cause death, heart failure rehospitalization, stroke, or reintervention. Propensity score-matched analysis was used. RESULTS:A total of 4,293 patients were included (redo SMVR: 64%; TMVR: 36%). TMVR recipients were older, with a higher comorbidity burden. In matched cohort (n = 1,317 in each group), mid-term risk of MACE was similar (adjusted HR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.80-1.04; P = 0.2). However, landmark analysis revealed a lower risk of MACE with TMVR in the first 6 months (adjusted HR: 0.75; 95% CI: 0.63-0.88; P < 0.001) albeit with a higher risk beyond 6 months (adjusted HR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.04-1.58; P = 0.02). Increasing procedural volume was associated with decreased risk of mid-term MACE after redo SMVR (P = 0.001) but not after TMVR (P = 0.3). CONCLUSIONS:In this large cohort of Medicare beneficiaries with failed mitral prostheses, outcomes were similar between redo SMVR and TMVR at 3 years, with TMVR showing a lower initial risk but a higher risk of MACE after 6 months. These findings highlight the importance of striking a balance between surgical risk, anticipated longevity, and hospital expertise when selecting interventions.
10.1016/j.jacc.2023.10.014
2-Year Outcomes of Angiographic Quantitative Flow Ratio-Guided Coronary Interventions.
Journal of the American College of Cardiology
BACKGROUND:In the multicenter, randomized, sham-controlled FAVOR (Comparison of Quantitative Flow Ratio Guided and Angiography Guided Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease) III China trial, quantitative flow ratio (QFR)-based lesion selection improved 1-year clinical outcomes compared with conventional angiographic guidance for percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). OBJECTIVES:The purpose of this study was to determine whether the benefits of QFR guidance persist at 2 years, particularly for patients in whom QFR changed the revascularization strategy. METHODS:Eligible patients were randomized to a QFR-guided strategy (PCI performed only if QFR ≤0.80) or a standard angiography-guided strategy. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE), a composite of all-cause death, myocardial infarction (MI), or ischemia-driven revascularization occurring within 2 years were analyzed in the intention-to-treat population. RESULTS:Among 3,825 randomized participants, 2-year MACE occurred in 161 of 1,913 (8.5%) patients in the QFR-guided group and in 237 of 1,912 (12.5%) patients in the angiography-guided group (HR: 0.66; 95% CI: 0.54-0.81; P < 0.0001), driven by fewer MIs (4.0% vs 6.8%; HR: 0.58; 95% CI: 0.44-0.77; P = 0.0002) and ischemia-driven revascularizations (4.2% vs 5.8%; HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.53-0.95; P = 0.02) in the QFR-guided group. Landmark analysis showed consistent results within the first year and between 1-2 years (P = 0.99). Although the 2-year MACE rate was lower in the QFR-guided group in both patients with and without revascularization strategy changes, the extent of outcome improvement was greater (P = 0.009) among those patients in whom the preplanned PCI strategy was modified by QFR. CONCLUSIONS:QFR-guided lesion selection improved 2-year clinical outcomes compared with standard angiography guidance. The benefits were most pronounced among patients in whom QFR assessment altered the planned revascularization strategy. (FAVOR III China Study [The Comparison of Quantitative Flow Ratio Guided and Angiography Guided Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Coronary Artery Disease] NCT03656848).
10.1016/j.jacc.2022.09.007